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22.08.2023 11:33 AM
只要油价低于82.60美元,油价仍然面临更多的下行风险。
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紅線-看漲通道(已破位)

藍線-阻力趨勢線

綠線-斐波那契擴展目標

油價目前交易在80.80美元附近。最近,價格突破了並跌破原本所在的看漲通道,提供了一個看跌信號。價格下跌至79美元,然後反彈至82.60美元,形成一個較低的高點。正如我們在前幾篇文章中提到的,我們認為油價從68美元已完成上行浪,現在進入了修正階段。我認為修正還沒有結束,79美元只是一個變下限。如果這個較低的高點隨後跌破79美元,將為一次更低的下跌打開道路,可能會下跌至76.50美元甚至是73美元。這些是斐波那契擴展工具的兩個下行目標,前提是價格保持在最近的高點82.60美元以下。藍色趨勢線是我們的阻力線,只要交易在其下方,我們短期看跌。

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