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22.08.2023 11:33 AM
Oil price vulnerable to more downside as long as price is below $82.60

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Red lines- bullish channel (broken)

Blue line- resistance trend line

Green lines- Fibonacci extension targets

Oil price is trading around $80.80. Recently price provided a bearish signal by breaking out and below the bullish channel it was in. Price fell towards $79 and then bounced towards $82.60 forming a lower high. As we mentioned in previous posts, our view is that Oil has completed the upward wave from $68 and is now in a correction phase. I believe the correction is not over at $79. This lower high if followed by a break below $79, will open the way for a move even lower towards $76.50 or even $73, These are the two downside targets by the Fibonacci extension tool, taking into consideration that price stays below the recent high of $82.60. The blue trend line is our resistance and we are short-term bearish as long as we trade below it.

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